It’s only July 1, but Netflix has already 18 original series. More than two dozen have been renewed, with several still waiting on their fate.
Canada Sports Betting (CSB) has examined the ones in limbo in an attempt to determine which Netflix series is likely to be canceled next. They site used four data points: how long Netflix has gone silent, chart performance, critic and audience scores, and live IMDb popularity, as of June 30.
The ‘most likely’ next cancellation may surprise you
According to CSB, How to Get to Heaven from Belfast has a 77.8% chance of getting canceled, ahead of Beef (44.3%) and The Witness (34.8%).
The eight-part Irish comedy thriller premiered on Netflix on February 12, to widespread audience and critical approval. It has a 95% approval rating on Rotten Tomatoes, along with a 79/100 on Metacritic, based on “generally favorable” critical reviews.
That’s great, but it isn’t enough to overcome middling ratings, says CSB.
“Never appeared in the Global Top 10. Anywhere. Once. Reviews are strong: 95% critic, 79% audience. It does not matter without chart numbers to back it up,” the outlet wrote. “Five months. No word. That is the story.”
What is the story?
Well, Netflix hasn’t said anything yet, even though it has been almost five full months since the series hit the platform.
This week, What’s on Netflix’s Kasey Moore praised the series, adding that the door was left open for a second installment. However, he is “leaning” toward it being canceled.
“[Creator Lisa] McGee herself has publicly stated she purposefully left things open for a second season but acknowledged that it’s entirely up to the audience turnout,” Moore said. “It never took to the charts in any meaningful way, and we suspect we won’t see a return of any description.”
McGee did indeed say at the time of the show’s release that she had the material for another season, but also acknowledged she was at the mercy of audiences.
“I’ve left it open for a second series but it’s all completely down to how many people watch. I’d love to do one,” she said.
To read the entire Canada Sports Betting study, click here.
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Author: Matt Hladik


